SUCCESSIVE GOVERNMENTS HAVE MISLED THE PUBLIC ABOUT THE IMPACT OF IMMIGRATION ON HOUSING DEMAND


…this is a major underestimate for two reasons.  First, the level of immigration on which the principal projection is based is considerably lower than present level. It is based on net migration to England of 170,500 a year yet net migration to England is currently at 300,000 a year and has averaged 200,000 a year over the last 10 years.  Second, the projections only take account of future migration, and ignore previous migration to England. The existing migrant population in England will also be driving future household formation – indeed, more so because of they have a much younger age profile than the UK born.  However, this has been misleadingly described as ‘natural change’ among the existing UK population as a whole rather than as also due to previous migration.  This means that the true figure of the proportion of household growth in England that is down to immigration – both past and future – is likely to be much larger than 37%.  Despite this, the Secretary of State claims that “two thirds of housing demand has nothing to do with immigration; it is to do with natural population growth.”  This is entirely false and misleading.
Share

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *